Recent Publications
| "Unemployment Cycles," Jan Eeckhout and Ilse Lindenlaub, American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, October 2019 |
| "Household Matters: Revisiting the Returns to Capital among Female Microentrepreneurs," Arielle Bernhardt, Erica Field, Rohini Pande, and Natalia Rigol, American Economic Review: Insights, September 2019 |
| "Do Increasing Markups Matter? Lessons from Empirical Industrial Organization," Steven Berry, Martin Gaynor, and Fiona Scott Morton, Journal of Economic Perspectives, August 2019 | |
| "The Problem of Bigness: From Standard Oil to Google," Naomi R. Lamoreaux, Journal of Economic Perspectives, August 2019 |
| "Can We Control Carbon Dioxide? (From 1975)," William D. Nordhaus, American Economic Review, June 2019 | |
| "Climate Change: The Ultimate Challenge for Economics,," William D. Nordhaus, American Economic Review, June 2019 | |
| "Dynamic Mechanism Design: An Introduction," Dirk Bergemann and Juuso Välimäki, Journal of Economic Literature, June 2019 |
| "Revenue Guarantee Equivalence," Bergemann, Dirk, Benjamin Brooks, and Stephen Morris, American Economic Review, May 2019 | |
| "Trade and Labor Market Dynamics: General Equilibrium Analysis of the China Trade Shock," Lorenzo Caliendo, Maximiliano Dvorkin, and Fernando Parro, Econometrica, May 2019 |
| "Evolved attitudes to idiosyncratic and aggregate risk in age-structured populations," Arthur Robson and Larry Samuelson, Journal of Economic Theory, April 2019 |
| "Information Design: A Unified Perspective," Bergemann, Dirk, Benjamin Brooks, and Stephen Morris, Journal of Economic Literature, March 2019 |
| "Aggregating Elasticities: Intensive and Extensive Margins of Women's Labor Supply," Orazio Attanasio, Peter Levell, Hamish Low, and Virginia Sánchez‐Marcos, Econometrica, November 2018 | |
| "Monte Carlo Confidence Sets for Identified Sets," Xiaohong Chen, Timothy M. Christensen, Elie Tamer, Econometrica, November 2018 | |
| "Nonparametric Analysis of Random Utility Models," Yuichi Kitamura and Jörg Stoye, Econometrica, November 2018 | |
| "The Value of Regulatory Discretion: Estimates from Environmental Inspections in India," Esther Duflo, Michael Greenstone, Rohini Pande, and Nicholas Ryan, Econometrica, November 2018 |
| "Estimating Group Effects Using Averages of Observables to Control for Sorting on Unobservables: School and Neighborhood Effects," Joseph G. Altonji and Richard K. Mansfield, American Economic Review, October 2018 | |
| "Overidentification in Regular Models," Xiaohong Chen and Andres Santos, Econometrica, October 2018 | |
| "The Marriage Market, Labor Supply, and Education Choice," Pierre-André Chiappori, Monica Costa Dias, and Costas Meghir, Journal of Political Economy, October 2018 | |
| "Why Did the Democrats Lose the South? Bringing New Data to an Old Debate," Ilyana Kuziemko Ebonya Washington, American Economic Review, October 2018 |
| "Fiscal Rules and Discretion in a World Economy," Marina Halac and Pierre Yared, American Economic Review, August 2018 | |
| "Innovation and Production in the Global Economy," Costas Arkolakis, Natalia Ramondo, Andréz Rodríguez-Clare, and Stephen Yeaple, American Economic Review, August 2018 |
| "The Implementation Duality," Georg Nöldeke and Larry Samuelson, Econometrica, July 2018 |
| "Identification of Nonparametric Simultaneous Equations Models With a Residual Index Structure," Steven T. Berry and Philip A. Haile, Econometrica, January 2018 | |
| "The Design and Price of Information," Dirk Bergemann, Alessandro Bonatti and Alex Smolin, American Economic Review, January 2018 |
| "Recall and Unemployment," Shigeru Fujita and Giuseppe Moscarini, American Economic Review, December 2017 |
| "Characterizing the Strategic Impact of Misspecified Beliefs," Yi-Chun Chen, Alfredo Di Tillio, Eduardo Faingold, and Siyang Xiong, Review of Economic Studies, October 2017 | |
| "Defensive Investments and the Demand for Air Quality: Evidence from the NOx Budget Program," Olivier Deschênes, Michael Greenstone, and Joseph S. Shapiro, American Economic Review, October 2017 |
| "Parenting with Style: Altruism and Paternalism in Intergenerational Preference Transmission," Matthias Doepke and Fabrizio Zilibotti, Econometrica, September 2017 | |
| "Research Design Meets Market Design: Using Centralized Assignment for Impact Evaluation," Atila Abdulkadiroğlu, Joshua D. Angrist, Yusuke Narita, Parag A. Pathak, Econometrica, September 2017 |
| "Contests for Experimentation," Marina Halac, Navin Kartik, and Qingmin Liu, Journal of Political Economy, August 2017 | |
| "Taxation and the Allocation of Talent," Benjamin B. Lockwood, Charles G. Nathanson, and E. Glen Weyl, Journal of Political Economy, August 2017 |
| "Networks in Conflict: Theory and Evidence From the Great War of Africa," Michael D. König, Dominic Rohner, Mathias Thoenig, Fabrizio Zilibotti, Econometrica, July 2017 |
| "Estimating the Innovator's Dilemma: Structural Analysis of Creative Destruction in the Hard Disk Drive Industry, 1981-1998," Mitsuru Igami, Journal of Political Economy, May 2017 |
| "Narrative Economics," Robert Shiller, American Economic Review, March 2017 |
| "First-Price Auctions with General Information Structures: Implications for Bidding and Revenue," Bergemann, Dirk, Benjamin Brooks, and Stephen Morris, Econometrica, January 2017 |
| "Identifying Latent Structures in Panel Data," Liangjun Su, Zhentao Shi, and Peter C. B. Phillips, Econometrica, November 2016 | |
| "Trade and the Global Recession," Jonathan Eaton, Samuel Kortum, Brent Neiman, John Romalis, American Economic Review, November 2016 |
| "Female Labor Supply, Human Capital, and Welfare Reform," Richard Blundell, Monica Costa Dias, Costas Meghir, Jonathan Shaw, Econometrica, September 2016 | |
| "Large Market Asymptotics for Differentiated Product Demand Estimators with Economic Models of Supply," Timothy B. Armstrong, Econometrica, September 2016 |
| "Information Design, Bayesian Persuasion, and Bayes Correlated Equilibrium," Dirk Bergemann and Stephen Morris, American Economic Review, May 2016 | |
| "Popular Attitudes toward Markets and Democracy: Russia and United States Compared 25 Years Later," Maxim Boycko and Robert J. Shiller, American Economic Review, May 2016 | |
| "Wage Posting and Business Cycles," Giuseppe Moscarini and Fabien Postel-Vinay, American Economic Review, May 2016 |
| "Prices, Markups, and Trade Reform," Jan De Loecker, Pinelopi K. Goldberg, Amit K. Khandelwal, Nina Pavcnik, Econometrica, March 2016 |
| "Adapting to Climate Change: The Remarkable Decline in the U.S. Temperature-Mortality Relationship over the 20th Century," Alan Barreca, Karen Clay, Olivier Deschênes, Michael Greenstone, and Joseph S. Shapiro, Journal of Political Economy, February 2016 |
| "Redistribution and Social Insurance," Mikhail Golosov, Maxim Troshkin, and Aleh Tsyvinski, American Economic Review, January 2016 | |
| "Networks and Misallocation: Insurance, Migration, and the Rural-Urban Wage Gap," Kaivan Munshi and Mark Rosenzweig, American Economic Review, January 2016 |
| "Leverage and Default in Binomial Economies: A Complete Characterization," Ana Fostel and John Geanakoplos, Econometrica, December 2015 |
| "Mediation and Peace," Johannes Hörner, Massimo Morelli, and Francesco Squintani, Review of Economic Studies, October 2015 | |
| "The Institutional Causes of China’s Great Famine, 1959-1961," Xin Meng, Nancy Qian, and Pierre Yared, Review of Economic Studies, October 2015 |
| "Truthful Equilibria in Dynamic Bayesian Games," Johannes Hörner, Satoru Takahashi, and Nicolas Vieille, Econometrica, September 2015 |
| "Is Piketty’s ‘Second Law of Capitalism’ Fundamental?," Per Krusell and Anthony A. Smith, Jr., Journal of Political Economy, August 2015 | |
| "The Anatomy of French Production Hierarchies," Lorenzo Caliendo, Ferdinando Monte, and Esteban Rossi-Hansberg, Journal of Political Economy, August 2015 |
| "Investment and Competitive Matching," Georg Nöldeke and Larry Samuelson, Econometrica, June 2015 | |
| "Sieve Wald and QLR Inferences on Semi/Nonparametric Conditional Moment Models," Xiaohong Chen and Demian Pouzo, Econometrica, June 2015 |
| "Convergence in Adaptation to Climate Change: Evidence from High Temperatures and Mortality, 1900-2004," Alan Barreca, Karen Clay, Olivier Deschênes, Michael Greenstone, and Joseph S. Shapiro, American Economic Review, May 2015 |
| "Climate Clubs: Overcoming Free-Riding in International Climate Policy," William D. Nordhaus, American Economic Review, April 2015 | |
| "Estimating the Cream Skimming Effect of School Choice," Joseph G. Altonji, Ching-I Huang, Christopher R. Taber, Journal of Political Economy, April 2015 | |
| "Wages and Informality in Developing Countries," Costas Meghir, Renata Narita, and Jean-Marc Robin, American Economic Review, April 2015 |
| "Adverse Selection and an Individual Mandate: When Theory Meets Practice," Martin Hackmann, Jonathan T. Kolstad, and Amanda E. Kowalski, American Economic Review, March 2015 | |
| "The Limits of Price Discrimination," Dirk Bergemann, Benjamin Brooks, and Stephen Morris, American Economic Review, March 2015 |
| "Competing for Consumer Inattention," Geoffroy de Clippel, Kfir Eliaz, and Kareen Rozen, Journal of Political Economy, December 2014 |
| "Inferring Labor Income Risk and Partial Insurance from Economic Choices," Fatih Guvenen and Anthony A. Smith, Jr., Econometrica, November 2014 |
| "Identification in Differentiated Products Markets Using Market Level Data," Steven T. Berry and Philip A. Haile, Econometrica, September 2014 |
| "Trade and the Topography of the Spatial Economy," Treb Allen and Costas Arkolakis, Quarterly Journal of Economics, August 2014 |
| "Asymptotic Efficiency of Semiparametric Two-step GMM," Daniel Ackerberg, Xiaohong Chen, Jinyong Hahn, Zhipeng Liao, Review of Economic Studies, July 2014 | |
| "No-Betting-Pareto Dominance," Itzhak Gilboa, Larry Samuelson and David Schmeidler, Econometrica, July 2014 |
| "Speculative Asset Prices," Robert J. Shiller, American Economic Review, June 2014 | |
| "US Food Aid and Civil Conflict," Nathan Nunn and Nancy Qian, American Economic Review, June 2014 |
| "Agricultural Decisions after Relaxing Credit and Risk Constraints," Dean Karlan, Robert Osei, Isaac Osei-Akoto, and Christopher Udry, Quarterly Journal of Economics, May 2014 | |
| "Decentralized Trading With Private Information," Mikhail Golosov, Guido Lorenzoni and Aleh Tsyvinski, Econometrica, May 2014 | |
| "On Confidence Intervals for Autoregressive Roots and Predictive Regression," Peter C. B. Phillips, Econometrica, May 2014 | |
| "Rainfall Forecasts, Weather, and Wages over the Agricultural Production Cycle," Mark R. Rosenzweig and Christopher Udry, American Economic Review, May 2014 | |
| "The Demand for Insurance in Developing Countries," Mark R. Rosenzweig and Christopher Udry, American Economic Review, May 2014 | |
| "Trends in Earnings Differentials across College Majors and the Changing Task Composition of Jobs," Joseph G. Altonji, Lisa B. Kahn and Jamin D. Speer, American Economic Review, May 2014 | |
| "Why Is Housing Finance Still Stuck in Such a Primitive Stage?," Robert J. Shiller, American Economic Review, May 2014 |
| "Local Identification of Nonparametric and Semiparametric Models," Xiaohong Chen, Victor Chernozhukov, Sokbae Lee, and Whitney Newey, Econometrica, March 2014 | |
| "Stable Matching with Incomplete Information," Quingmin Liu, George J. Mailath, Andrew Postlewaite, and Larry Samuelson, Econometrica, March 2014 |
| "Valuing the Vote: The Redistribution of Voting Rights and State Funds following the Voting Rights Act of 1965," Elizabeth U. Cascio and Ebonya Washington, Quarterly Journal of Economics, February 2014 |
| "Optimal Taxes on Fossil Fuel in General Equilibrium," Mikhail Golosov, John Hassler, Per Krusell, and Aleh Tsyvinski, Econometrica, January 2014 |
| "Stochastic Search Equilibrium," Giuseppe Moscarini and Fabien Postel-Vinay, Review of Economic Studies, October 2013 |
| "Connected Substitutes and Invertibility of Demand," Steven Berry, Amit Gandhi and Philip Haile, Econometrica, September 2013 |
| "Early Life Health Interventions and Academic Achievement," Prashant Bharadwaj, Katrine Vellesen Løken, Christopher Neilson, American Economic Review, August 2013 | |
| "Trade, Tastes, and Nutrition in India," David Atkin, American Economic Review, August 2013 |
| "Modeling Earnings Dynamics," Joseph G. Altonji, Anthony A. Smith Jr., Ivan Vidangos, Econometrica, July 2013 | |
| "Robust Predictions in Games with Incomplete Information," Dirk Bergemann, Stephen Morris, Econometrica, July 2013 |
| "Informal Risk Sharing, Index Insurance, and Risk Taking in Developing Countries," Mobarak, Ahmed Mushfiq, and Mark R. Rosenzweig, American Economic Review, May 2013 | |
| "Optimal Pension Systems with Simple Instruments," Mikhail Golosov, Ali Shourideh, Maxim Troshkin, Aleh Tsyvinski, American Economic Review, May 2013 | |
| "Profitability of Fertilizer: Experimental Evidence from Female Rice Farmers in Mali," Lori Beaman, Dean Karlan, Thuysbaert Bram, Christopher Udry, American Economic Review, May 2013 | |
| "Reflections on Finance and the Good Society," Robert J. Shiller, American Economic Review, May 2013 | |
| "Robustness, Infinitesimal Neighborhoods, and Moment Restrictions," Yuichi Kitamura, Taisuke Otsu, Kirill Evdokimov, Econometrica, May 2013 |
| "Inference Based on Conditional Moment Inequalities," Donald W.K. Andrews, Xiaoxia Shi, Econometrica, March 2013 | |
| "Nonparametric Estimation in Random Coefficients Binary Choice Models," Eric Gautier, Yuichi Kitamura, Econometrica, March 2013 |
| "A Structural Approach to Identifying the Sources of Local-Currency Price Stability," Pinelopi K. Goldberg, Rebecca Hellerstein, Review of Economic Studies, January 2013 |
| "Human Capital Investment and the Gender Division of Labor in a Brawn-Based Economy," Mark M. Pitt, Mark R. Rosenzweig, Mohammad Nazmul Hassan, American Economic Review, December 2012 |
| "Inference for Parameters Defined by Moment Inequalities: A Recommended Moment Selection Procedure," Donald W. K. Andrews, Panle Jia Barwick, Econometrica, November 2012 | |
| "Reputation with Analogical Reasoning," Philippe Jehiel, Larry Samuelson, Quarterly Journal of Economics, November 2012 |
| "The Contribution of Large and Small Employers to Job Creation in Times of High and Low Unemployment," Giuseppe Moscarini, Fabien Postel-Vinay, American Economic Review, October 2012 |
| "Estimation and Inference With Weak, Semi-Strong, and Strong Identification," Donald W. K. Andrews, Xu Cheng, Econometrica, September 2012 |
| "Estimating Derivatives in Nonseparable Models With Limited Dependent Variables," Joseph G. Altonji, Hidehiko Ichimura, Taisuke Otsu, Econometrica, July 2012 |